Trump's Capture of Maduro: Turning a Global Superpower into a Lawless Actor
Amid the widespread uncertainty following the US strikes on Venezuela, the apprehension of President Nicolás Maduro, and the declaration by Donald Trump that the US will “control” the country and “seize control of the oil”, a single fact remains evident – these actions create a profoundly disturbing precedent.
A Grim History and a New Escalation
The United States carries a troubling legacy of interference, invasion and occupation in the region, but the early hours of Saturday marked its first major military attack on the continent of South America. “The preeminence of America in this region is now beyond dispute,” Mr Trump declared.
The choice to militarily strike another state and seize its president – mere days after he stated a desire for negotiations – possesses far-reaching consequences. We all have reason to be worried.
A Nation Left in Limbo
Venezuelans have lived through a dictatorship marked by theft and failure under Mr Maduro, largely considered to have stolen the last election. They now face profound uncertainty at best. Mr Trump has remarked that the vice president, Delcy Rodríguez would follow US instructions, and brushed aside conservative dissident leader and Nobel prize-winner María Corina Machado as a viable alternative.
However, Ms Rodríguez, now the interim president, has so far struck a defiant tone – and other parts of the headless administration are considerably more radical.
The Superpower as Rogue State
A man who came to office promising to abandon foreign wars now says he is “unconcerned about deploying troops”. Renaming the Department of Defense as the Department of War was not merely symbolic. He does not see the world’s superpower as a guardian of order; he is turning it into a rogue state.
He believes that the United States' strength allows it to do as it wishes with scant penalty: consider the military actions against Nigeria and Iranian installations. He claims that control of Venezuela's petroleum means this most recent venture “will be financially free”.
An Attack Without Legal Justification
George W. Bush launched the invasion of Iraq on a lie. But this unlawful assault came lacking any form of UN approval or authorization from lawmakers; key legislators received no advance notice and say they were given false information in briefings. Mr Trump aims not merely to stretch international norms, but to shatter them.
Put aside the signal this transmits to leaders in Moscow, Beijing, and beyond, and ask where the US itself is heading. While the raid reportedly killed 40 Venezuelans, including civilians, there were no American fatalities. Mr Trump’s escalating feeling of being untouchable will almost certainly fuel more reckless actions.
The Thin Pretext and True Motives
No one buys the justification that this is related to the drug trade. Venezuela is only a secondary pathway for cocaine; Mr Trump recently granted clemency to the past Honduran leader Juan Orlando Hernández for drugs and weapons crimes. Mr Trump himself has been explicit that he is driven by the allure of petroleum resources as well as a desire to project strength, the beliefs held by certain advisors, and the desire for glory as domestic popularity wanes.
Tepid International Response and Waning Global Governance
The worldwide reception, especially in Europe, has – with notable outliers – been surprisingly subdued. That’s not a result of Mr Maduro’s sins, but anxiety over Mr Trump’s wrath. The firm response from UN Secretary General António Guterres was commendable, but this episode emphasizes the UN's diminishing clout.
Mr Trump’s isolationist supporters at home could yet press him to turn attention back home – but soaring healthcare premiums, economic unhappiness and other domestic scandals make foreign conflicts more appealing.
Barely 12 months into his presidential term. Other governments may come to rue the day if they fail to speak up today, considering the potential next target.